Article by John Derbyshire |
||||
|
|
|||
| An
Insanely Bad Idea Oh, the Middle East, the
Middle East. Everybody has an
opinion, and most of the opinions are held with fierce passion.
This, of course, creates rancor.
Now, you know me: irenic, amiable, easy-going old Derb. I hate rancor, and will have nothing to do with it, at least
for today. To make a
Buckleyism of it: I shall eschew
rancor. Let us all eschew rancor.
Let us try to find something, some little thing, in the whole sorry
mess over there, that we can all (no, that’s too much to ask:
that most of us) can agree on.
I am going to put forward a point I haven’t seen much discussed,
but that seems to me wellnigh unassailable in logic, history, political
science and common sense. Here is the point.
All right-thinking people are supposed to agree on the need for
some kind of Palestinian state. I am not so sure about this myself, as I have said on this
site more than once; but for
the sake of argument, let’s go with the bien-pensants and take
this as a given. There is to
be a Palestinian state. What
should it look like? That’s
a no-brainer, and anyone can give you the answer without pausing for
thought (which — the not pausing for thought — is part of what I am
getting at). The Palestinian
state will consist of the West Bank and the Gaza strip.
Which is to say, it will consist of two unconnected pieces of
territory, separated, at their closest point, by 30 miles, said 30 miles
belonging to an unfriendly power. Can
we please all agree that this is an insanely bad idea? History is founded on
geography, and the shapes of states can have profound consequences.
The particular idea of a state in two or more pieces, separated by
land, has an extremely poor track record.
The most recent attempt at
such a state was the original, pre-1971 version of Pakistan, made up of
the current Pakistan and the current Bangladesh, separated by not 30 but
1,000 miles of unfriendly territory!
This monumentally stupid idea made perfect sense to all the
decision-makers at the time (1947); a fact that becomes a little easier to
understand if you recall that every one of them was either a diplomat, a
lawyer, a socialist politician, an Islamic theocrat, or a member of the
British Royal Family. By a miracle, the thing hung together for 24 years, before
disintegrating in a ghastly blood-letting in the second, third, fourth,
who can remember? Indo-Pak
war of 1971. Today in the
east end of London, youths from Pakistani families and youths from
Bangladeshi families still fight pitched street battles, while youths from
Indian families drive by in their Porsches, on their way home to the
suburbs from their jobs as stock-brokers in the City. An earlier effort at making
a state out of two non-contiguous pieces was made at the Versailles
conference of 1919, when the victorious Allies of WW1 redrew the map of
Europe. One thing they were
intent on was creating a free nation of Poland.
(The Poles had been part of the Russian Empire since 1795.)
If that nation were to be viable, it would of course need access to
the Baltic — this was in fact the 13th of Wilson’s famous 14
points. Unfortunately
this could only be done by cutting off the Germans of East Prussia in an
enclave separate from the rest of Germany.
Leaving Germany in two separate pieces like that didn’t bother
any of the Allies much. The
fool Germans had lost the war, hadn’t they?
And so the “Danzig Corridor” was born, and the rest is, well,
history. Way further back, in the
early-modern period, Spain was in two bits.
There was Spain as in, Spain, and there was the Spanish
Netherlands. That generated,
oh, about 150 years of chronic warfare (and an excellent Verdi opera).
Before that, the Kingdom of England included bits of France, a
state of affairs that led to a war actually named “the Hundred Years
War” (not to mention several fine plays by Wm. Shakespeare and one by
G.B. Shaw). Before that... Have I made my point?
Want some more? Nagorno-Karabakh, anyone?
Schleswig-Holstein? Kaliningrad?
(All right, that one hasn’t caused a war yet.
Stick around.) Counterexamples?
Sure; I’m living in
one. Alaska is a piece of
North America, belonging to the U.S.A. but not contiguous with it.
Yeah, yeah, but the U.S.-Canada relationship is not an instance of
anything more general, and who wants to live in Alaska, anyway?
What else you got? The
old Kingdom of Hanover? Come
on. The other day I was
listening to some TV talking head explaining that it would be a good idea,
following the establishment of a Palestinian State, for the West Bank and
Gaza to be connected by an elevated expressway.
That would (he explained) cause minimal bother to the Israelis, and
would give the West Bank access to the sea.
I was sitting there watching this person, who to the best of my
recollection did not have bananas sticking out of his ears, and thinking
to myself: You, Sir, are
mad, crazy, deranged, delusional, barmy, wacko and meshuga. Does anybody disagree? |
||||